The More Things Change The More They Stay the Same

CARSON, CA - AUGUST 25: Head coach Robin Fraser of Chivas USA stands for the National Anthem before the MLS match against the Seattle Sounders at The Home Depot Center on August 25, 2012 in Carson, California. The Seattle Sounders won 6-2. (Photo by Ric Tapia/Getty Images)

B Weld, an industrial strength cold weld bonding agent, i.e. glue, is so well-regarded that it's otherwise unbiased Wikipedia entry reads like an advertisement. Once applied, J-B Weld can withstand scalding temperatures of 500F and pressures of up to 3,000 PSI. That's not the only thing I learned from their FAQ page:

Q: Is J-B Weld toxic?

A: No. J-B Weld is non-toxic. However, we do not recommend consuming the product.

Need to re-attach a rusty hitch? Use J-B Weld. Need a dessert topping? Stick with Hershey's.

It would seem apparent that a bonding agent isn't a supposed to be a snack, but obviously they must have gotten that question enough that they felt compelled to answer it.

However in this day and age, what's obvious often gets overlooked. Club stability is key to MLS success. Chivas USA, following the buyout of the Cue brothers by Jorge Vergara, is only going to fall further from the pack if the new ownership blows the current squad up. Read more after the jump!

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With the recent consolidation of ownership of Chivas USA, pundits (us included) have been asking what it all means. The only apparent answer is change. The ink on the contracts hadn't even dried before it was reported General Manager Jose Domene was out. Domene eventually tweeted otherwise, although the writing on the wall would say differently.


You know the routine: New ownership begets a new General Manager. A new GM usually begets a new coach and the whole process begets a roster makeover. And it all puts Chivas USA further and further away from the playoffs, let alone establishing that identity they've been trying in vain to accomplish in their seven years in America's top flight of soccer.

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Doing some off-the-cuff math, I took the five top minute earners from each Western Conference side (the Portland Timbers and Vancouver Whitecaps excepted) and contrasted that with their points total.

It's not perfect, and there is one obvious outlier--San Jose Earthquakes--but otherwise the trend is unmistakable. Teams with a core of players that have been with the club for an extended period of time succeed; those that don't, don't.


Another way to look at this is to look at the tenure of each team's coach.

Club Coach Hire Date
Chivas Robin Fraser Jan. 2011
Colorado Oscar Pareja Jan. 2012
FC Dallas Schellas Hyndman June 2008
LA Galaxy Bruce Arena Aug. 2008
RSL Jason Kreis May 2007
San Jose Frank Yallop Nov. 2007
Seattle Sigi Schmid Dec. 2008

Should it be any surprise that the longer tenured coaches are the more successful? Sure, you could make the argument that the longer tenured coaches are employed because they are successful and that's a valid point. However you won't make too many nice pictures on an Etch-a-Sketch if you keep shaking it up.

Below is a comparison of Real Salt Lake and Chivas USA since Jason Kreis took the reigns at Rio Tinto. RSL didn't always come out on top, but the team's brass was patient and stuck with him.

Kreis_v_chivas_medium

It wasn't until Kreis's third year that RSL really took off. But, as the saying goes, those who forget the past are condemned to repeat it. After all, teams, like glue, require time to bond together.

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